Carlsbad, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

145
FXUS64 KMAF 301124
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
524 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 524 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

- Strong winds develop across the area on Thursday. A High Wind
  Warning is in effect for the Guadalupe, Delaware, and Davis
  Mountains and Eddy County beginning Thursday morning through the
  evening. A Wind Advisory is also in effect for parts of
  southeast New Mexico and locations along the Trans-Pecos.

- Well-above normal temperatures, mostly sunny skies, and dry
  conditions arrive on Friday and continue into next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday afternoon)
Issued at 410 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

Fog has once again developed tonight over the eastern Permian Basin
on the moist side of a boundary (evident on satellite imagery)
extending from approximately Lamesa southward. This fog is expected
to dissipate before the dawn as westerly winds push drier air west
of the boundary into the area. By mid-morning today, winds will
increase across the area coincident with the passage of a strong jet
associated with the weather system passing to our north. As a result
of these increasing winds, the High Wind Warning has been maintained
while the Wind Advisory has been extended to include the southern
tier of Lea County along with Pecos and Winkler Counties. Wind gusts
up to 70mph should be expected in the warned area, while gusts up to
55mph can be anticipated within the advisory. Some areas of blowing
dust may also accompany these enhanced winds.

Winds will start to subside after sunset today. Highs top out in the
upper 50s and low 60s areawide, and lows tonight will drop down into
the low to mid 30s for most under clear skies. A warm-up begins on
Friday, with highs jumping back into the 60s and even low 70s for
some locations. This is just the beginning of more spring-like
weather...

Sprang

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 410 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

The start of February is going to feel more like Spring across much
of the southern Great Plains. Beginning this weekend and heading
through much of the following week, much warmer weather is
anticipated for the region. This warmer weather is supported by
increasing heights from mid-level ridging and zonal flow over the
southern tier of the United States. Temperatures easily climb into
the 70s and even 80s for most each afternoon. This equates to
temperatures about 10 to 20 degrees above normal. Though anomalous,
it does appear likely that we fall short of record territory at this
juncture. Similarly, warm overnight temperatures are to be expected
with upper 30s and 40s most common across the area. With this warmer
weather pattern, hardly any clouds are expected and thus no rain is
in sight. Enjoy the warm, dry, and sunny weather to start the new
month!

-Chehak

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 524 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

VFR prevails through 12Z tomorrow. Gusty westerly/southwesterly
winds develop by 16Z at all sites. Some BLDU may accompany these
strong winds, though recent moisture decreases confidence on
if/where it may develop. Therefore, elected not to mention it in
this set of TAFs. Winds come down later tonight and shift slightly
to a more westerly/northwesterly direction.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               59  34  67  34 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 56  30  65  31 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   66  40  72  39 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            60  36  67  38 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           46  31  55  37 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    55  30  64  34 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    51  28  65  31 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     57  34  66  37 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   57  34  66  38 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     58  31  67  32 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Warning from 10 AM CST /9 AM MST/ this morning to 9 PM
     CST /8 PM MST/ this evening for Davis Mountains-Davis
     Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson-Guadalupe Mountains
     Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 9 PM CST this evening
     for Chinati Mountains-Loving-Marfa Plateau-Pecos-Reeves
     County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

NM...High Wind Warning from 9 AM this morning to 8 PM MST this
     evening for Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy
     County.

     Wind Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 8 PM MST this evening
     for Southern Lea.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....91
AVIATION...13